{"id":493,"date":"2009-03-10T11:32:09","date_gmt":"2009-03-10T19:32:09","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.betasights.net\/wordpress\/?p=493"},"modified":"2009-03-11T19:20:01","modified_gmt":"2009-03-12T03:20:01","slug":"metcalfe-envisions-energy-net","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.betasights.net\/wordpress\/?p=493","title":{"rendered":"Metcalfe envisions energy net"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.computerhistory.org\/events\/index.php?spkid=0&amp;ssid=1230592031\" target=\"_blank\">Bob Metcalfe<\/a> is very smart, very successful, and very rich. Now an unashamed venture capitalist investing in both PV and home nuclear as part of his diversified portfolio, his major vision is for a new \u201cenernet\u201d that would fundamentally revolutionize the energy industry. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.computerhistory.org\/events\/index.php?id=1230592031\" target=\"_blank\">He spoke of this as well as his invention of Ethernet this evening at the Computer History Museum in Mountain View, California<\/a>. \u201cJust as it took 30 years to break the communications monopoly, with energy it will probably take 30 years to break the energy monopoly and be able to create new affordable energy sources for the world,\u201d postulated Metcalfe.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.betasights.net\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/03\/metcalfeslaw_small.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-494\" title=\"metcalfeslaw_small\" src=\"http:\/\/www.betasights.net\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/03\/metcalfeslaw_small.jpg\" alt=\"\" \/><\/a>Trying to sell the value of networked PCs back in the 1980s, he decided that the value increased approximately as the square of the number of connections, which is what gave us \u201cMetcalfe\u2019s Law\u201d (<em>see figure<\/em>). So the major commonality between Metcalfe\u2019s and Moore\u2019s Laws is that each one was originally just a marketing tool (the term used by <a href=\"http:\/\/www.computerhistory.org\/events\/index.php?id=1125619052\" target=\"_blank\">Moore at a previous Computer History Museum event<\/a>).<\/p>\n<p>\u201cMetcalfe Law has never been numerically evaluated. What is value, what is connected, what is a user?\u201d quipped Metcalfe. In all seriousness, he talked about reasonable attempts to quantify his namesake law. \u201cIf you do the math, the critical mass depends on the cost of the connection and the value of the connection,\u201d explained Metcalfe about the current effects of the internet and new devices. \u201cThe critical mass is heading down.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The energy grid today has limited capacity, is very synchronous and fragile, and so it reminds Metcalfe of the computer world of the 1980s. \u201cWe need some research on what the smart grid of the future will look like,\u201d he said. From first principles, it needs a control pane, standards, storage, and it should be far more symmetrical (in terms of allowing for safe metered energy to flow both in and out), etc. \u201cMaybe the internet will be the control pane,\u201d continued Metcalfe. \u201cMaybe we should give up on AC and go back to <a href=\"http:\/\/cityroom.blogs.nytimes.com\/2007\/11\/14\/off-goes-the-power-current-started-by-thomas-edison\/\" target=\"_blank\">DC as Edison wanted<\/a>.\u201d More on Metcalfe and innovation will be in the BetaSights <a href=\"http:\/\/www.betasights.net\/newsletter.php\" target=\"_self\">Newsletter<\/a>. <em>\u2013E.K.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bob Metcalfe is very smart, very successful, and very rich. Now an unashamed venture capitalist investing in both PV and home nuclear as part of his diversified portfolio, his major vision is for a new \u201cenernet\u201d that would fundamentally revolutionize the energy industry. He spoke of this as well as his invention of Ethernet this [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,7],"tags":[206,469],"class_list":["post-493","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-integrated-circuit","category-photovoltaic","tag-net","tag-photovoltaic"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.betasights.net\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/493","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.betasights.net\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.betasights.net\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.betasights.net\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.betasights.net\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=493"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"http:\/\/www.betasights.net\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/493\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":500,"href":"http:\/\/www.betasights.net\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/493\/revisions\/500"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.betasights.net\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=493"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.betasights.net\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=493"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.betasights.net\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=493"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}